Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.391311 0.460694 0.536956 0.626747 0.729313 0.842547 0.976740
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.281865 0.372781 0.482781 0.624557 0.801214 1.012759 1.283781
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.216965 0.317430 0.449375 0.632753 0.877984 1.191235 1.617659
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.170671 0.273360 0.418376 0.633509 0.938979 1.350719 1.939745
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.131374 0.229297 0.377304 0.610445 0.959882 1.453899 2.192017
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.112369 0.211221 0.369542 0.631783 1.042774 1.646807 2.581391
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096344 0.194267 0.359843 0.647112 1.115985 1.829554 2.968487
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087595 0.187914 0.365771 0.686928 1.229550 2.079999 3.473126
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.073890 0.169484 0.347767 0.683561 1.271755 2.222065 3.820776
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.061833 0.151619 0.327652 0.673116 1.299641 2.341635 4.139306
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052358 0.136976 0.311037 0.666199 1.331645 2.468573 4.476130
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046333 0.128561 0.305168 0.678230 1.397550 2.655750 4.922662
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040438 0.119381 0.296742 0.685028 1.455967 2.836977 5.376178
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035028 0.110156 0.286787 0.687506 1.506495 3.008244 5.824572
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030968 0.103426 0.281234 0.698252 1.573648 3.213573 6.344962
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026912 0.095675 0.272004 0.699763 1.622233 3.387773 6.820019
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022078 0.084323 0.252106 0.674860 1.614251 3.455177 7.105045
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020253 0.081635 0.253347 0.698233 1.708632 3.722903 7.773440
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018337 0.078138 0.251897 0.714989 1.790100 3.970401 8.417119
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017639 0.078584 0.261082 0.758410 1.933017 4.347056 9.324638
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015326 0.072670 0.251704 0.754746 1.971062 4.516487 9.843229
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013097 0.066327 0.239923 0.743363 1.990312 4.648472 10.295324
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011295 0.061012 0.230158 0.735823 2.017348 4.797393 10.787395